Saturday 1 March 2014

The Downfall of Obama's Middle East Policy

Hard-nosed geopolitical thinkers such as George Friedman – CEO of Strafor, the private intelligence and forecasting company – argue that al-Qaeda’s furtive attack on September 11, 2011, demonstrated not its strength relative to the United States but the Islamic terrorist organisation’s impotence. Friedman’s The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century (2009), which I reviewed in the October 2009 edition of Quadrant, presumed Uncle Sam’s uncontested geopolitical supremacy ruled out any genuine threat to the Pax Americana in the twenty-first century, apart from the slow-burning fuse of Mexifornia. Nevertheless, the ground has shifted in the five short years of the Obama presidency and old certainties are no longer assured. 

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